Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.296137 0.339411 0.385823 0.439190 0.498737 0.563014 0.637523
2025-11-30 0.225255 0.283596 0.351136 0.434611 0.534475 0.649559 0.791622
2025-12-07 0.170529 0.235091 0.315471 0.421715 0.557125 0.722504 0.938148
2025-12-14 0.134807 0.202592 0.292940 0.419941 0.591265 0.811480 1.112551
2025-12-21 0.105476 0.172512 0.267955 0.410176 0.612424 0.884799 1.273367
2025-12-28 0.089602 0.158208 0.261809 0.424275 0.666037 1.004739 1.505407
2026-01-04 0.076832 0.145948 0.256276 0.437675 0.719017 1.127422 1.750499
2026-01-11 0.064320 0.131468 0.244713 0.439689 0.754335 1.226711 1.969043
2026-01-18 0.053929 0.118445 0.233200 0.439649 0.785477 1.321142 2.186158
2026-01-25 0.045204 0.106595 0.221621 0.437486 0.812119 1.409656 2.399309
2026-02-01 0.038201 0.096570 0.211571 0.436251 0.839379 1.500138 2.620337
2026-02-08 0.032515 0.088001 0.202781 0.435819 0.867291 1.592762 2.849575
2026-02-15 0.027148 0.078999 0.191881 0.430359 0.886310 1.672963 3.065698
2026-02-22 0.023826 0.074024 0.188412 0.438679 0.930734 1.798781 3.364493
2026-03-01 0.020000 0.066812 0.178935 0.433689 0.949728 1.881763 3.596086
2026-03-08 0.017327 0.061941 0.173830 0.436947 0.984443 1.994302 3.884284
2026-03-15 0.014478 0.055752 0.164554 0.429993 0.998248 2.069774 4.111780
2026-03-22 0.013253 0.054093 0.165979 0.446715 1.060780 2.238026 4.512017
2026-03-29 0.012089 0.052308 0.166782 0.462040 1.121535 2.406309 4.920505
2026-04-05 0.010553 0.048814 0.162521 0.464984 1.156448 2.527512 5.249126
2026-04-12 0.009139 0.045284 0.157520 0.465467 1.185947 2.639731 5.566368
2026-04-19 0.007848 0.041750 0.151849 0.463525 1.209795 2.741994 5.869607
2026-04-26 0.006764 0.038632 0.146789 0.462432 1.235264 2.848626 6.185819